Welcome to the Lake
Saturday, August 11, 2012
Whether we are reading a newspaper, listening to the radio, or watching the news on television, we are thrown all sorts of information to filter through, some good, some bad, some we just have to decide on our own where to classify it. We see stuff on blogs, Facebook, Twitter, Youtube, blogs and more and it is up to each and everyone of us to decide what we are going to believe as true, and what we think is a "bunch of balogne".
This past week the news has been reporting that the Canadian housing market is going to take a down turn. "There is going to be a 10% drop in housing prices over the next few years." "There is going to be a market correction, as prices have doubled in the last 10 years or so." I wonder if everyone caught the fine print in the story that this is the forecast for Toronto and Vancouver. In particular, this is going to reflect their condo market.
The question then is, what about the rest of the country? Canada is the second largest country in the world. We have several different time zones, different weather climates, oceans on three sides, with prairies, mountains, rocks, trees, and more in between. It seems to me that it would be a bit of a challenge to paint the real estate market of Canada with just one brush.
Here is my two cents. You can take it or leave it. I have no money back guarantee with my predictions. These are just my thoughts on my local real estate market:
During the last housing boom, the smaller towns and villages lagged behind the bigger centers such as Calgary and Edmonton. We did get a boom too (on a much smaller scale of course), but it was a year or so after the cities took off. When the cities started to cool down, we cooled down too, but after the cities had already started their cool down. I will compare this to the big brother little brother scenario. Little brother wants to grow up to be like big brother, but he is still little brother and it will take time to catch up to his older sibling. The older sibling already has life experience, and other resources to move him along. The little brother will need some time to build up his resources, get his name out there, for him to catch up. The cities already have a large population base to work with, unlike the smaller towns and villages, with established businesses and room to grow. Meanwhile, small towns and villages have to fight to get businesses to come to town. I could go on and on with that predicament, but I will stop there for now.
I hope you got my point. The little guys and just a couple of steps behind the big guys. That's life. That is the challenge that smaller communities face compared to the larger ones.
As Lake McGregor Country Estates is recreational property market, let's check it out for a minute. There are lots of properties for sale and have been for a while. Same goes for Little Bow Resort, and other recreational properties in Alberta. Recreational properties are not high on people's priority list in a slower economy. This market usually lags behind the residential market, just like the small town are behind the cities. As those markets pick up, the recreational property market will be picking up shortly afterwards.
It is a challenge. It has always been a challenge, and it will be a challenge in the future. Small town living has it's ups and downs. So does living in the city. So does recreational property. And now back to the point of this little rant of mine. When you hear a story on the news, or read it somewhere, do your homework before you decide to turn on the panic button. Get the facts. Make up your own mind...and take it from there.
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